Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 12.942877 14.870329 16.924817 19.270946 21.868972 24.650916 27.847961
2025-01-19 10.569446 13.120080 16.001512 19.474517 23.522715 28.067805 33.530959
2025-01-26 9.148387 12.112493 15.624711 20.044999 25.407947 31.651099 39.411831
2025-02-02 8.016281 11.241960 15.228152 20.435381 26.970580 34.810368 44.827088
2025-02-09 6.971110 10.319962 14.623258 20.439056 27.962895 37.231206 49.359647
2025-02-16 5.817641 9.102274 13.492940 19.630234 27.808567 38.143352 51.978051
2025-02-23 5.066720 8.338163 12.869777 19.396376 28.321403 39.850555 55.585927
2025-03-02 4.364380 7.556600 12.137895 18.931948 28.457491 41.023052 58.489282
2025-03-09 3.847355 6.988156 11.647007 18.744197 28.922320 42.603327 61.931127
2025-03-16 3.336620 6.368335 11.019995 18.300819 28.980066 43.602839 64.591183
2025-03-23 3.023539 6.029931 10.781583 18.395266 29.779804 45.614558 68.647166
2025-03-30 2.712523 5.658395 10.456414 18.326682 30.321136 47.262596 72.226539
2025-04-06 2.490090 5.419261 10.325777 18.549748 31.302894 49.568157 76.798192
2025-04-13 2.279859 5.177449 10.168359 18.713239 32.189933 51.752331 81.244011
2025-04-20 2.157100 5.083955 10.248313 19.252049 33.657291 54.805044 86.986335
2025-04-27 2.017492 4.941698 10.230983 19.624468 34.872225 57.511920 92.286675
2025-05-04 1.833890 4.690191 10.000921 19.625771 35.496999 59.352883 96.365438
2025-05-11 1.559675 4.216420 9.331977 18.841908 34.833027 59.234402 97.561249
2025-05-18 1.389841 3.941310 9.002720 18.615221 35.043566 60.426003 100.697393
2025-05-25 1.212220 3.623442 8.564254 18.165647 34.861135 60.997550 102.906136
2025-06-01 1.083426 3.399428 8.287298 17.983923 35.106587 62.225016 106.114538
2025-06-08 0.943737 3.127448 7.890040 17.554937 34.910037 62.744049 108.244500
2025-06-15 0.866788 3.000961 7.778153 17.646299 35.598228 64.669479 112.558306